Toronto prediction markets
Where Baystreeter players put the chances on the city’s biggest open markets, and how each one has moved over the past 7 days. 145 open play-money markets on Toronto elections, sports, transit, food, real estate and business. Chances as of 5:43 p.m..
The biggest markets
- Where will Toronto FC finish in the Eastern Conference standings at the end of the 2026 MLS regular season? — 10th or lower (miss the playo… 63%, +21 pts over 7 days. Then 8th or 9th (wild-card match) 20%, 7th or higher 17%
- Who will be the first Raptor to reach 400 points this season? — Scottie Barnes 32%, +3 pts over 7 days. Then Kawhi Leonard 25%, RJ Barrett 20%
- Will Anthony Santander play at least 50 games for the Blue Jays in 2027? — 35% Yes, −27 pts over 7 days
- How many regular-season games will Kawhi Leonard play in 2026-27? — 40 to 54 28%, +6 pts over 7 days. Then 55 to 64 22%, 39 or fewer 21%
- By Dec. 30, how many NHL points will Gavin McKenna have? — 22 to 25 33%, +1 pt over 7 days. Then 21 or fewer 29%, 26 to 29 24%
- Will Sergei Bobrovsky win 20 or more games for the Maple Leafs in 2026-27? — 29% Yes, −12 pts over 7 days
Recently settled
- Will Toronto FC make the 2027 MLS Cup Playoffs? — settled No
- How far will the Argonauts go in the 2026 CFL playoffs? — settled Lose the East Semi-Final
- How will Toronto FC's Nov. 1 match at Atlanta United end? — settled Atlanta United win
By category
Politics
- Will Toronto cut the TTC's 47-trip monthly fare cap by March 2027? — 59% Yes, +15 pts over 7 days
- Will Pierre Poilievre stop leading the Conservative Party by the end of 2027? — 14% Yes, +2 pts over 7 days
- Will the province start removing Yonge or University bike lanes by May 31, 2027? — 39% Yes, −1 pt over 7 days
Sports
- Where will Toronto FC finish in the Eastern Conference standings at the end of the 2026 MLS regular season? — 10th or lower (miss the playo… 63%, +21 pts over 7 days. Then 8th or 9th (wild-card match) 20%, 7th or higher 17%
- Who will be the first Raptor to reach 400 points this season? — Scottie Barnes 32%, +3 pts over 7 days. Then Kawhi Leonard 25%, RJ Barrett 20%
- Will Anthony Santander play at least 50 games for the Blue Jays in 2027? — 35% Yes, −27 pts over 7 days
Culture
- Will Drake perform a concert in Toronto in 2027? — 45% Yes, +3 pts over 7 days
- When will Heated Rivalry season 2 premiere on Crave? — April 2027 35%, −4 pts over 7 days. Then May 2027 24%, July 2027 or later 18%
- Will Noah Kahan announce a 2027 Toronto-area concert by March 31? — 16% Yes, −2 pts over 7 days
Food & Drink
- Which brand announces a Toronto-area store first: Chagee, Luckin, Dutch Bros. or Raising Cane's? — None of them by Dec 31, 2027 67%, +1 pt over 7 days. Then Chagee 15%, Luckin Coffee 9%
- Will Pai Northern Thai Kitchen open its Square One restaurant by Dec 31, 2026? — 44% Yes, −5 pts over 7 days
- Will In-N-Out open a location in the Greater Toronto Area by the end of 2027? — 7% Yes, +1 pt over 7 days
Transit
- Will the Ontario Line carry its first passengers by the end of 2031? — 19% Yes, −7 pts over 7 days
- Will Toronto approve a TTC fare increase in its 2027 budget? — 35% Yes, −14 pts over 7 days
- What will the TTC adult single fare be on December 31, 2028? — $3.31 to $3.60 43%, −6 pts over 7 days. Then Still $3.30 29%, Above $3.60 29%
Real Estate
- Will TRREB report 60,000 or more GTA home sales for calendar 2026? — 58% Yes, +1 pt over 7 days
- What will the average GTA home price be in December 2026? — $950K to $999,999 39%, −1 pt over 7 days. Then Under $950K 27%, $1.00M to $1.049M 25%
- Will the October 2026 GTA average home price be above $1,000,000? — 46% Yes, −2 pts over 7 days
Play money only; tokens have no cash value. Every market on Baystreeter is about Toronto.