Who will win the next Toronto mayoral election?

Odds now: Someone else 46%, Olivia Chow 11%, Mike Layton 11%. Expected close October 28, 2030.

Chances

• Someone else — 46%
• Olivia Chow — 11%
• Mike Layton — 11%
• Brad Bradford — 8%
• Josh Matlow — 8%
• Michael Ford — 8%
• John Tory — 8%

Rules

• Resolves to the person declared elected mayor of Toronto in the first mayoral election held after the October 26, 2026 election. This includes a by-election if one is held before the regular election.
• The City of Toronto's election results, as published by the City Clerk, decide the winner. Trading closes at 8:00 pm Toronto time on election day, before polls close.
• If the winner is not on the named list, "Someone else" wins. If the election is delayed, the market stays open until it is held. If a recount or legal challenge changes the result, the winner is the person the City Clerk declares elected.
• The closing time is an estimate. If the date of the vote changes, trading closes at 8:00 pm Toronto time on the new election day.

Source: City of Toronto Elections (City Clerk official results)

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