Who will be elected Speaker of Toronto City Council for the 2026-2030 term?

Odds now: Someone else 44%, Shelley Carroll 18%, Stephen Holyday 12%. Expected close November 18, 2026.

Chances

• Someone else — 44%
• Shelley Carroll — 18%
• Stephen Holyday — 12%
• Amber Morley — 8%
• Rachel Chernos Lin — 7%
• James Pasternak — 6%
• Jon Burnside — 5%

Rules

• This market resolves to the councillor first elected Speaker by Toronto City Council for the 2026-2030 term, as shown by the City of Toronto's official council decisions, minutes or news release.
• The Speaker is normally chosen at the first meeting of the new council. If the first vote is delayed, the market still resolves to the first person elected Speaker for this term. Deputy Speaker and other roles do not count.
• The closing time is an estimate. If the date of the vote changes, trading closes on the new date.

Source: City of Toronto – City Council decisions and news releases

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