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How many years in prison will 'Crypto King' Aiden Pleterski be sentenced to?

Odds now: 5 to under 7 years 29%, 7 to under 9 years 28%, 9 to under 11 years 19%. Expected close January 18, 2027.

Chances

  • Under 3 years — 4%
  • 3 to under 5 years — 13%
  • 5 to under 7 years — 29%
  • 7 to under 9 years — 28%
  • 9 to under 11 years — 19%
  • 11 years or more — 7%

Rules

  • Resolves on the total prison term the judge imposes on Aiden Pleterski for his October 29, 2026 conviction for fraud over $5,000, as announced in court and reported by CBC News (or another major Canadian outlet if CBC does not report it). Months count as fractions of a year, so 6 years 6 months falls in "5 to under 7 years".
  • House arrest or a conditional sentence served in the community, fines, restitution, and probation do not count as prison time. If the sentence has no prison term, the answer is under 3 years. Credit for time already served is not subtracted from the announced term.
  • The closing time is an estimate. If the sentencing date changes, trading closes shortly before the new date.
  • If no sentence is announced by January 6, 2029, or the conviction is overturned before sentencing, the market is cancelled.

Source: CBC News (reports of the sentence announced in court)

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